Overview of Israel, AIPAC and Difficult Questions for Democrats
This episode of The Daily examines how AIPAC, the powerful pro-Israel lobbying group, has become a central force in Democratic primary politics—and a symbol of a much larger fight over U.S. support for Israel, money in politics, and the boundaries of criticism. Jonathan Mahler argues that the group’s shift from bipartisan lobbying to aggressive, high-dollar electoral intervention has helped turn support for Israel into a litmus test on the left at a moment when U.S.-Israel relations are under unprecedented scrutiny.
How AIPAC Went from Bipartisan to Polarizing
Early mission
- AIPAC was founded shortly after Israel’s creation in 1948.
- Its original goal was simple: defend and strengthen the U.S.-Israel relationship.
- For decades, it was explicitly bipartisan and worked with both Republicans and Democrats.
Why it worked for so long
- AIPAC could argue that:
- Israel shared U.S. democratic values.
- Israel was a key strategic ally, especially during the Cold War.
- American Jews and Zionist voters gave the cause political support.
- In return, Israel received:
- Massive U.S. military aid.
- Major political backing in Congress and on the world stage.
The Turning Point: From Alignment to Division
2015: Obama and the Iran nuclear deal
- The biggest inflection point came when President Obama pushed ahead with the Iran nuclear deal.
- Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu strongly opposed it.
- Netanyahu’s appearance before Congress, arranged by Republicans, became a public confrontation between the Israeli government and the U.S. president.
- AIPAC sided with Israel and against Obama, marking a major break from its old ability to stay comfortably bipartisan.
2018 onward: The rise of the Squad
- The election of progressive Democrats like:
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
- Rashida Tlaib
- Ilhan Omar
- later Jamal Bowman and Cori Bush
- These lawmakers were openly critical of Israeli policy, supported BDS in some cases, and questioned unconditional U.S. aid.
- Their rise signaled that criticism of Israel was no longer confined to fringe voices.
How AIPAC Changed Its Strategy
From small donations to super PAC spending
- AIPAC had traditionally encouraged members to make limited individual donations.
- In the post-Citizens United era, it created a super PAC called the United Democracy Project.
- This allowed AIPAC to spend unlimited sums in congressional races.
The new playbook
- AIPAC began:
- Pouring tens of millions into primaries.
- Backing candidates it saw as reliably pro-Israel.
- Targeting candidates it viewed as insufficiently supportive.
- In 2022, it spent about $26 million.
- By the current cycle, spending had surged far higher, including $120 million in the 2024 cycle, according to the episode.
Not just Israel messaging
- The group also used broader issue ads, sometimes unrelated to Israel, to boost allies or weaken opponents.
- That fueled criticism that AIPAC had become a major player in “dark money” politics, not just foreign-policy lobbying.
Why Democrats Are Rethinking the Issue
The new litmus test
- AIPAC’s definition of “pro-Israel” has hardened.
- Politicians who question unconditional military aid to Israel may be treated as unacceptable, even if they still support Israel’s existence and security.
- This has widened the number of Democrats AIPAC is willing to challenge, including moderates.
Examples discussed
- Tom Malinowski:
- A mainstream Democrat and former congressman.
- Supported Israel in general but wanted conditions and case-by-case scrutiny on aid.
- AIPAC spent heavily against him; the effort backfired in part because the race produced a candidate even farther left on Israel.
- Daniel Biss:
- A moderate Illinois Democrat with Jewish family history and ties to Israel.
- He made AIPAC part of his campaign narrative and won his primary.
- Michigan Senate primary:
- AIPAC backed Haley Stevens, a moderate Democrat.
- Her opponent, Abdul El-Sayed, made criticism of Israel and opposition to aid central to his campaign.
October 7 and the Gaza War Changed the Politics Again
- After Hamas’s October 7 attack, there was an initial surge of bipartisan sympathy for Israel.
- But as the war in Gaza intensified and civilian casualties mounted, public opinion and political support began shifting again.
- For AIPAC, this created a new urgency:
- More criticism of Israel.
- More skepticism of military aid.
- More space for anti-AIPAC and anti-Israel messaging.
Antisemitism, Criticism, and the Hard Part to Untangle
The episode makes an important distinction
- It acknowledges that AIPAC clearly spends real money and exerts real influence.
- But it also warns that some criticism of AIPAC draws on classic antisemitic tropes:
- Jews and money
- Jewish political power
- accusations of dual loyalty
- The episode notes that this dynamic appears on both the left and the right.
Important nuance
- Not every criticism of AIPAC is antisemitic.
- But the show argues that the current environment has opened the door to rhetoric that crosses into antisemitism, especially as criticism of Israel becomes more normalized.
Main Takeaways
- AIPAC has transformed from a bipartisan pro-Israel lobby into a highly aggressive super PAC.
- Support for Israel is now a major fault line inside the Democratic Party, not just between parties.
- AIPAC’s money and tactics have backfired politically in some cases, helping some opponents turn anti-AIPAC sentiment into a campaign asset.
- The broader debate now includes three intertwined issues:
- U.S.-Israel policy
- the role of big money in politics
- the risk of antisemitic rhetoric being normalized
Bottom Line
Jonathan Mahler’s central argument is that AIPAC helped create the conditions for its current backlash. By moving from a bipartisan lobbying model to a more combative, high-spending electoral strategy, it pushed Democrats to take sides—and in doing so, it accelerated a broader rethinking of what it means to be “pro-Israel” in American politics.
Note
- The transcript includes unrelated sponsor reads and later news headlines at the end; the core episode content ends with the AIPAC discussion.
