Overview of The Town: Netflix’s Greta Gerwig Narnia Deal and What It Means for Theatrical Releases
This episode focuses on Netflix’s surprising decision to give Greta Gerwig’s upcoming Narnia film a true theatrical rollout before it lands on streaming, a notable departure from Ted Sarandos’ long-standing anti-theatrical stance. Host Matt Belloni and Bloomberg’s Lucas Shaw break down why Netflix made the move, why Greta Gerwig had the leverage to get it done, and whether this signals a broader shift in Netflix’s business strategy. The episode also briefly pivots to a separate Hollywood controversy involving Jimmy Kimmel and the FCC.
Netflix’s Narnia Deal: What Changed
The original plan
- Netflix had initially planned a limited theatrical run for The Magician’s Nephew:
- IMAX only
- About two weeks in theaters
- Then streaming on Netflix about a month later
- That setup was meant to feel like a “special event,” not a real theatrical commitment.
The new arrangement
- The film will now receive a much broader theatrical release:
- All formats, not just IMAX
- All major theater chains
- A 49-day theatrical window
- New release dates:
- IMAX begins a couple days early
- Wide theatrical release starts February 12
- Netflix debut follows on April 2
Why Netflix blinked
- Greta Gerwig had unusual leverage after Barbie and strongly pushed for theaters.
- The project is big, expensive, and visually ambitious — the kind of movie traditionally built for theaters.
- Production delays from an on-set injury created an opening to rethink the release plan.
- Netflix appears more willing to experiment after:
- Its Warner Bros. pursuit
- Pressure from filmmakers
- The industry’s shift toward a 45-day theatrical window
Why Greta Gerwig Got the Deal
A rare mix of leverage and timing
- Gerwig is one of the most bankable and respected directors working today.
- The movie’s scale and family appeal make it especially suited to theatrical exhibition.
- She reportedly pushed hard for the theatrical release, making it a priority in negotiations.
- Netflix seems increasingly willing to bend for elite filmmakers it doesn’t want to lose.
Industry context
- Other major directors who have pushed for theatrical releases at Netflix include:
- Martin Scorsese
- Guillermo del Toro
- David Fincher
- Kathryn Bigelow
- Shaw and Belloni suggest this could have happened for other filmmakers too, depending on timing and project size.
What This Means for Netflix
A potential strategic shift
- Netflix may be softening its once rigid “streaming first” philosophy.
- The company is under pressure to find new growth engines as streaming matures and subscriber growth slows.
- Theatrical releases may not be a huge direct revenue stream, but they can help:
- Build brands
- Create franchises
- Increase the value of expensive IP
- Support broader monetization through games, merchandise, experiences, and licensing
Why this matters beyond one movie
- This is not just about one Narnia release; it raises the question of precedent.
- If the film performs well, Netflix may be more open to theatrical windows on other big titles.
- The episode frames this as part of Netflix evolving from a pure streaming platform into a more traditional entertainment studio.
The Big Business Questions
Does theatrical meaningfully help Netflix?
- Belloni argues theaters probably won’t become a major direct growth engine for Netflix.
- But theatrical can help Netflix justify very expensive movies by improving the economics across multiple windows.
- Lucas Shaw notes that if a handful of films get theatrical runs, that won’t move the needle much on a $40 billion business — but it could still matter strategically.
Can Netflix execute this well?
- A major concern is marketing:
- Netflix usually does not run traditional blockbuster-style campaigns.
- Broad theatrical releases require much more promotion than Netflix typically does.
- Another question is distribution:
- Netflix reportedly plans to distribute the film itself.
- The hosts question whether Netflix should partner with an experienced theatrical distributor instead.
- Traditional studios like Sony, Universal, or Warner Bros. would have clear infrastructure for this kind of release.
Release Date Strategy and Risks
Why February?
- The new release date avoids the crowded Thanksgiving/Christmas calendar.
- February was chosen because it was relatively open and allowed for a theatrical rollout after the production delay.
- It also puts the film in the run-up to Easter, which fits the religious undertones of Narnia.
Potential risk
- The timing is still not perfect:
- It lands near Super Bowl weekend
- It sits between other family-oriented releases
- The episode notes that the date is available for a reason — it’s not a traditionally strong box office slot.
How Many Netflix Movies Could Go Wide?
A speculative forecast
- Belloni and Shaw debate how many Netflix films might eventually get wide theatrical releases each year.
- The guesses range from:
- 2–3 titles
- Up to 4 titles annually
- The consensus: Netflix is unlikely to go all-in on theatrical, but this could become a recurring strategy for a select few tentpoles.
Broader Takeaway
- Netflix appears to be inching toward a more studio-like model.
- The company may be realizing that certain films need theaters to maximize cultural impact and long-term IP value.
- Narnia is a major test case:
- If it works, the industry could see more “Greta deals.”
- If it doesn’t, Netflix can still call it an exception.
Secondary Segment: Jimmy Kimmel, Disney, and the FCC
What happened
- The episode closes with a discussion of the controversy involving Jimmy Kimmel, Disney, and the FCC.
- The panel argues the situation is legally weak and politically motivated.
Main points
- Brendan Carr and the FCC are portrayed as overreaching.
- Disney is expected to win any legal challenge.
- The hosts view this as a First Amendment issue and a dangerous precedent.
- Kimmel is seen as unlikely to back down, partly because leaving would let Trump claim victory.
Prediction
- The episode predicts Disney will ultimately prevail and the FCC will retreat rather than carry the fight through appeals.
Bottom Line
- Netflix’s Narnia release is a major symbolic shift: a company once famously hostile to theatrical windows is now giving one of its biggest films a real wide release.
- Greta Gerwig’s clout, the movie’s scale, and broader industry pressure all played a role.
- The move could be a one-off — or the beginning of Netflix treating a small number of films like true theatrical event movies.
