PMS 2.0 1488 - NFL Divisional Playoffs Preview/Picks, Miami Head Coach Mario Cristobal, University of Miami President/CEO Joseph Echevarria, Jeff Passan, & AJ Hawk

Summary of PMS 2.0 1488 - NFL Divisional Playoffs Preview/Picks, Miami Head Coach Mario Cristobal, University of Miami President/CEO Joseph Echevarria, Jeff Passan, & AJ Hawk

by Pat McAfee, ESPN

2h 19mJanuary 16, 2026

Overview of PMS 2.0 — Episode 1488

Pat McAfee’s show (Jan 16, 2026) previews the NFL Divisional Round, interviews Miami Hurricanes head coach Mario Cristobal and University of Miami President/CEO Joe Echevarria, and covers MLB labor/contract headlines with Jeff Passan. The episode mixes game-by-game playoff analysis (injury and weather implications), cultural/depth profiles of Miami’s title run, business/legislative ideas for college sports, and a live Thunderdome SeatGeek relay ticket giveaway that concluded with a 3:35 finish.

Guests & main segments

  • Mario Cristobal (Head Coach, Miami Hurricanes) — deep-dive interview about team culture, roster construction, game prep, quarterback Carson Beck, running-back rotation, and treating the Monday title game like a road trip despite playing at home.
  • Joe Echevarria (President & CEO, University of Miami) — strategy for rebuilding Miami: three pillars (academics, health system, athletics), ACC/TV-contract landscape, and advocating a long-term market solution (broadcast antitrust exemption + collective bargaining for players).
  • Jeff Passan (MLB analyst) — reaction to large Dodgers spending (Kyle Tucker deal), arbitration spikes (Tarik Skubal), and how the looming CBA/broadcast/revenue issues could force structural change (salary cap/partnership models) in baseball.
  • AJ Hawk — regular co-host commentary and regional culture discussion.
  • Live Thunderdome SeatGeek Relay — a 4 × 293-yard relay to give away two tickets to the college title game; final official time announced ~3:35.

NFL Divisional Round: matchups, storylines & injury notes

Overview: four playoff games — two Saturday, two Sunday. Hosts previewline movement, public money, weather, and X-factors.

  • Buffalo Bills @ Denver Broncos (Sat, 4:30 ET on CBS)

    • Storylines: Josh Allen vs. Denver’s top defense coming off a bye; can Denver’s defense sustain early playoff domination?
    • Injury/notes: Sam Darnold listed questionable in other contexts earlier in show (for another game); no similar blocking concerns here. Betting: Broncos slight favorite, but hosts leaned Bills.
    • Show lean: Hosts backed the Bills.
  • San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks (Sat night)

    • Storylines: NFC West rivalry; two recent low-scoring matchups (17-13 and 13-3). Kyle Shanahan’s playoff reputation and Brock Purdy’s playoff form are focal points. Seattle’s home crowd (12s) is huge.
    • Injuries/notes: George Kittle out (Achilles). Fred Warner status discussed; note in-show: Warner expected out.
    • Betting/public: big public % on 49ers; total and line movement were debated.
    • Show lean: San Francisco +7 was advocated as a price pick (hosts liked the value).
  • Houston Texans @ New England Patriots (Sun, 3:00 ET)

    • Storylines: One of the best defenses in recent memory (Houston) vs. Drake Maye and dynamic Patriots offense. Can Houston’s pass rush and turnover-creating defense disrupt Maye?
    • Injuries/notes: Nico Collins questionable (no practice). Game weather in Foxborough mild for January (felt-like ~29°F).
    • Stat to watch: Drake Maye’s scramble/pickup ability vs Houston’s scramble defense.
    • Show lean: Hosts favored New England (Patriots -3).
  • Los Angeles Rams @ Chicago Bears (Sun night)

    • Storylines: Cold-weather game; Caleb Williams’ relative cold-game experience vs Matthew Stafford (counterintuitive stat that Caleb has more sub-30°F games). Rams offense (Stafford, Puka Nacua) vs. Chicago’s defense; NFL coaching/coordinator hires may be influenced by postseason.
    • Betting/lines: Rams opened/favored on the road; public money mixed (reverse line movement noted).
    • Show lean: Split — some hosts on Rams (-4.5), others on Bears (+4.5) — a true divisional toss-up.

Key betting/injury takeaways:

  • Fred Warner expected out for SF.
  • Sam Darnold oblique: he publicly said he expects to play; medical analyst rated it low concern — but “questionable” designation causes confusion. (Hosts flagged the unclear labeling procedures.)
  • Weather could be a factor in Foxborough and Chicago — teams with experience and a running QB escape option matter.

Miami Hurricanes deep dive — Mario Cristobal (highlights)

  • Team identity: “Whatever-it-takes” mentality — emphasis on physicality, communication, finishing, and “answering the bell.”
  • Roster composition: intentional blend of older, experienced core (OL, QB Carson Beck, linebackers) plus elite freshmen (Malachi, Bryce Fitzgerald). Cristobal stressed veteran leadership at the team’s “gut” positions: center, nose tackle, QB, LB, RB, safety.
  • Quarterback: Carson Beck’s revival — Cristobal highlighted Beck’s character, production, and focus on team success over accolades.
  • Running back depth: four- or five-man rotation; Mark Fletcher and Marty Brown highlighted as playmakers and leaders.
  • Game prep for the title game: Miami treated the week like a road trip — “lockdown,” family messaging to limit distractions, use of home facilities but with away mentality.
  • Culture & recruiting: Cristobal emphasized internal standards, “men of action” recruitment, and passing down culture (OL, etc.).
  • Notable Cristobal lines: “It’s us. It’s always been us.” — on shutting out external noise and emphasizing internal standards.

University of Miami strategy & college-sport policy — Joe Echevarria (highlights)

  • Timeline: Echevarria recruited Cristobal in Dec 2021; reaching the national stage now is the payoff of a 4-year plan.
  • Three-pillar approach: academics, health system (top-10), athletics — all three must excel and support each other.
  • Athletics boost: successful teams raise the university brand and visibility.
  • College-sports structural reform: Echevarria called for market-level changes — broadcast antitrust protections (Broadcasting Act) to let revenue be negotiated collectively and a collective-bargaining-type framework for players to create stability and predictability for the sport (addressing NIL/transfer chaos).
  • Long-term view: believes in a multi-year path to equilibrium similar to pro-sport evolutions (e.g., NBA–ABA, NFL changes).
  • Notable Echevarria lines: “We have to let go of the old model and create a partnership model — not overnight, but a path forward.”

MLB labor, contracts & arbitration — Jeff Passan (high points)

  • Dodgers’ spending spree: Kyle Tucker deal (large AAV via deferrals) and Edwin Díaz signing are legal but exacerbate fan concerns about competitive balance.
  • Fan sentiment: outrage/alienation when one team accumulates star talent; rules can be legal yet still prompt calls to evolve.
  • CBA/collective bargaining (Dec 1, 2026 deadline): Passan stressed opposing positions — owners want a cap/structure to drive balance; players resist limiting earning power. Success depends on finding compromise and listening to fans.
  • Arbitration spotlight — Tarik Skubal case:
    • Skubal asked for ~$32M in arbitration (record-level ask inside arbitration); Tigers countered ~$19M. If unresolved, a hearing decides between the two figures — a flashpoint given Skubal’s profile and his role on the MLBPA exec committee.
  • Recent transactions mentioned: JT Realmuto re-signing with Phillies (3 years, $45M), Mets landing Bo Bichette in response to market moves.
  • Takeaway: baseball’s current market is volatile — deferrals, opt-outs, and short-term high AAV deals change dynamics before the next CBA.

Thunderdome SeatGeek Relay (ticket giveaway) — format & result

  • Format: 4 × 293-yard relay (each runner out-and-back), guesses accepted via X/Twitter hashtag #PMSSeatGeekRelay (predict total time to the second), five entries per account.
  • Execution: terrain included indoor carpet → pavement → curbs → pasture → wooden post touch and back; penalties possible: failed exchange, fall, injury (+5 seconds each).
  • Outcome: the relay finished in ~3:35 (3:35.81 reported in show); drama: drone initially focused on wrong post, exchange close calls, minor stumbles — hosts used the result to select a winner from accurate guesses (details/pools handled off-show).
  • Contest: winners were to be selected from accurate guesses; final selection process described on-air (first 10 accurate entries pooled, then random selection).

Notable quotes & moments

  • Mario Cristobal: “It’s us. It’s always been us.” (on Miami culture)
  • Echevarria: “We started this journey on December 6, 2021… The objective is to stay here.” (on bringing Miami back)
  • Jeff Passan: On the Tucker/Dodgers situation: “Fans feel like this game is unfair… rules need to adapt.”
  • Pat McAfee’s recurring theme: divisional round as a “grand finale” of playoff fireworks and the importance of savoring these final big weekends.

Key takeaways / what to watch this weekend

  • Monitor injury designations (Sam Darnold oblique updates; Fred Warner out for 49ers).
  • Weather is a factor in Foxborough & Chicago — running/QB escape ability and special teams could swing games.
  • Small variances in lines (e.g., 49ers +7, Rams -4.5) matter in divisional playoff spot-on bets — public money and reverse line movement were discussed.
  • College title game prep: Miami will run a “road trip” week despite being at home; look for discipline, physicality, and preparation continuity vs. Indiana.
  • MLB offseason/CBA watch: Dodgers spending + arbitration cases like Skubal will shape the 2026 labor talks; fans & stakeholders will be pushing for a clearer, fairer marketplace.

Action items (from the episode)

  • If you entered the #PMSSeatGeekRelay contest, review the show’s instructions and wait for host announcements on winner selection.
  • Watch for late injury/status reports before each playoff kickoff — the hosts highlighted that “questionable” vs. “probable” labels matter but can be confusing.
  • Tune in to the Monday college title coverage (Pat’s crew will be live from Hard Rock) — the hosts will be on-site for Miami vs Indiana.

If you want a concise “fast facts” card for each playoff game (injuries, betting line, host pick, key X-factor), I can make that next.