Overview of Democracy on ICE? The mood turns in America
This episode of The Economist’s The Intelligence (hosted by Jason Palmer) covers three main items: the political fallout from federal immigration-enforcement actions in Minneapolis and Congress’s response; signs that Kim Jong-un may be grooming a daughter for succession in North Korea; and an obituary for Mark Tully, the BBC’s long-time Delhi bureau chief. The show ties immediate events to broader institutional and historical questions: how Congress, courts and civic protest constrain executive power in the U.S.; how North Korea manages dynastic succession; and how a correspondent shaped British and Indian understandings of modern India.
ICE, Minneapolis and U.S. institutional checks
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Incident and context
- The episode opens with the recent killing of “Alex Pretty” (shot by a federal agent in Minneapolis) and the earlier death of “Renee Good,” raising alarm about ICE/CBP tactics and federal operation “surges” in cities.
- Minneapolis became the focal point of public outrage and sustained grassroots protest and documentation.
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Political and institutional response
- Congress intervened: Democrats pushed back against expanding ICE powers and used the threat of a shutdown to extract concessions — a short-term win that bought two more weeks of DHS funding while negotiations continue.
- Some Republican voices expressed concern; leadership changes in Minneapolis enforcement: Greg Bovino (CBP) was moved out and Tom Homan (immigration “czar”) installed, adopting a more conciliatory tone and promising professional conduct and accountability.
- A federal judge warned ICE is ignoring court orders; a judge noted the administration had ignored ~100 court orders in January (per discussion), raising questions about judicial enforcement.
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Data and trends cited
- Cato Institute: only ~5% of recent detainees had violent convictions — suggesting ICE’s net has been wide.
- Immigration agents roughly doubled in the past year; the administration seeks broader deportation powers.
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Public mood and risk
- Polling mentioned: three in five Americans think immigration-enforcement tactics are too forceful.
- Observers warn protests are time-limited instruments to force leaders to act; risk exists that escalations (e.g., property damage) could be used to justify a law-and-order response.
- The episode frames this as a test of U.S. checks and balances: whether courts and Congress can restrain an assertive executive branch.
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Notable quotes
- Tom Homan (tone shift): “Nothing’s ever perfect. Anything can be improved on…If they don’t, they’ll be dealt with.”
- Minneapolis mayor Jacob Frey: “This kind of conduct and siege needs to stop…nationwide.” (paraphrase)
North Korea: a daughter in the spotlight
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Core observation
- Kim Jong-un has been increasingly showcasing a young female companion—referred to in state media as the “respected child” and commonly named Kim Ju-ae / Kim Joo-yee—at high-profile events including the Grand Mausoleum, missile tests, embassy receptions, and on a recent Beijing trip.
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Why this matters
- The girl’s repeated and elevated public appearances, symbolism (standing next to missiles, association with a white horse), deference from military officers, and presence at diplomatic events suggest she may be being groomed for succession.
- South Korean analysts think the daughter could be positioned as a fourth-generation leader; there’s speculation her status might be formalized at the forthcoming party congress.
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Complications and context
- North Korea’s patrilineal, patriarchal tradition raises questions about acceptance of a female ruler; the regime has elevated women under Kim Jong-un (e.g., sister in high power, first female foreign minister), but dynastic legitimacy could be challenged.
- Kim may also have a son; some analysts say the daughter could be a decoy until a son matures.
- Noah Snyder’s analysis: Kim’s focus is internal stability—he’s trying to reduce the chances of intra-elite threats by introducing potential successors publicly and earlier than past Kims did.
Mark Tully obituary — legacy and perspective
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Who he was
- Mark Tully, long-time BBC Delhi bureau chief for 20+ years, known as “the Voice of India” for broadcasts that reached about 50 million people (broadcasts translated into six Indian languages).
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Career highlights and style
- Reported on major Indian events: Bhopal disaster, Ayodhya riots (where he was physically assaulted), the Sikh Golden Temple attack, and the aftermath of Indira Gandhi’s assassination.
- Praised for reporting from villages, tea houses and railways — bringing ordinary Indians’ views to international audiences.
- Deep interest in faith and spirituality; after leaving the BBC in 1994 (following a dispute with BBC leadership), he stayed in India and presented Something Understood, a program about faith and the arts.
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Views and concerns
- Tully worried about religious tensions and the erosion of secularism in India, particularly with the rise of Hindutva and Narendra Modi’s politics.
- He remained attached to India: born there, spent most of his life there, and intended to die there.
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Closing note
- Tully died aged 90; the obituary frames his life as circle-shaped—beginning and ending in India—with a journalist’s moral commitment to listening and bearing witness.
Key takeaways and implications
- Short-term political effects
- Congress can still act as a check when pressured (threat of shutdown), but concessions are temporary and broader policy battles over ICE funding and powers continue.
- Institutional tests
- Courts face enforcement challenges if the executive ignores orders; potential escalation to the Supreme Court looms.
- Civic power
- Sustained local protest and grassroots documentation played a decisive role in publicizing abuses and pressuring political responses.
- North Korea
- Public grooming of a possible female successor signals regime concern about internal continuity and a strategy of visible succession planning.
- Media and memory
- Mark Tully’s career underscores the role of steady, local reporting in shaping international understanding and protecting democratic values like secularism by holding power to account.
Recommended follow-ups (from the episode)
- The Economist’s Checks and Balance podcast will air a deeper discussion of ICE and U.S. institutions (available later the same day and every Friday).
- Watch for North Korea’s party congress for any formal recognition of succession plans.
- Keep an eye on judicial rulings and enforcement actions related to ICE/CBP and on congressional negotiations over DHS funding.
Promos noted in the episode: a Blue Apron ad and a mention of Season 3 of Boss Class (focused on generative AI at work).
