Overview of What’s Wright — Seahawks-Patriots Super Bowl Predictions
This episode of What’s Wright (ep. 425) is Nick Wright’s Super Bowl prop and final-game-pick show. Nick and co-host Demonse review the Seahawks vs. Patriots matchup, give a straight-up game pick and score projection, and run through a long list of prop-bet recommendations (with prices/juice). The episode includes strategic betting advice (favor two-way markets, beware heavy juice), injury notes, and several favorite long-shot and fun bets for Super Bowl week.
Final game pick & scoreboard projection
- Nick Wright’s pick: Seattle Seahawks -4.5 (predicted final score: Seahawks 27, Patriots 17).
- Rationale: Belief the Seahawks’ front/secondary matchup and Mike McDaniel-style defense will pressure and limit the Patriots; expects Seattle to lead comfortably into the fourth and hang on.
- Demonse’s lean: New England +4.5 (expects a close game; thinks Bill Belichick/Vrabel-style coaching will keep it tight even if Seattle is better).
- Postseason records mentioned: Nick 4–8, Demonse 8–4.
Key context & injury note
- Seahawks rookie do-it-all safety (named in transcript as “Nicky Manwari”) reportedly suffered an ankle injury midweek — hosts expect he’ll likely play, but noted it’s a concern.
- Sharp-money narrative: sharp money is on Seattle to win straight-up and on New England to cover +4.5. Hosts warn not to parlay those two outcomes together — poor value.
Nick Wright’s top prop recommendations (highlights)
- Game-level / scoring
- Patriots team total: UNDER 18.5 points (plus-money; Nick likes value here).
- Longest successful field goal: OVER 49.5 yards (Nick expects at least one 50+ yard make).
- Both teams to convert ≥1 fourth-down: YES (+125) — Nick’s favorite misc team prop.
- Total players to throw a pass: OVER 2.5 (+160) — Nick’s favorite fun Super Bowl bet (trick plays/backups).
- Any-time touchdown bets
- Kenneth Walker III anytime TD: -200 (Nick expects Walker to find the end zone).
- Cooper Kupp anytime TD: +260 (Nick likes red-zone dynamics to create an opportunity).
- Drake Maye anytime TD: +275 (Nick’s oddly favorite anytime TD — expects QB sneak/scramble or designed run).
- Quarterback props
- Sam Darnold OVER 232.5 passing yards (-115) — Nick expects Seattle will force Seattle to throw and Darnold to play well.
- Sam Darnold OVER 19.5 completions (-135).
- Sam Darnold rushing UNDER 6.5 yards (-115).
- Drake Maye OVER 37.5 rushing yards (-120) — Demonse/Nick expect Maye to run often.
- Drake Maye UNDER 1.5 passing TDs (-160) — Nick expects Patriots to score more on the ground or limited passing TDs.
- Both interception lines: hosts stayed away because of heavy juice (they think both QBs could throw picks but don’t want the price).
- Rushing / receiving
- Rasheed (transcript: “Rashid Shahid”) receiving yards OVER 22.5 (-115) — Nick expects one explosive play.
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba (appears as “Njigba” / “Jackson Smith and Jigba”) over 0.5 rushing yards at +275 (a flyer in case of a reverse/lateral).
- Jackson Smith-Njigba / Njigba referenced as key red-zone target; hosts mention potential attention-opening for other pass-catchers.
- Defensive
- Demarcus Lawrence OVER 0.5 sacks (+115).
- Leonard Williams OVER 0.5 sacks (+150).
- Long shots / novelty
- Rashid Shahid to record longest reception: +700.
- Any player to record an “octopus” (novel Super Bowl prop) — hosts declined; they expect NO.
- Gatorade color: Demonse’s fun pick = lime/green (+275).
Demonse’s five favorite props (selected)
- Cooper Kupp — most receiving yards: +1300 (big long shot / fun upside).
- Sam Darnold UNDER 232.5 passing yards (-120).
- Stefon Diggs to catch a pass on New England’s first drive: +130 (lightning bet).
- Kenneth Walker anytime TD: -200.
- Seattle -5.5 at half: +125 (Demonse expects early Seahawks control).
Rationale & betting strategy tips from the show
- Prefer two‑way markets (over/under or yes/no) because you can see fair pricing; single-sided markets with only one bet available often hide poor value.
- Avoid betting heavy juice (e.g., interception overs with -150+ juice) unless you’re very confident.
- Don’t parlay logically correlated but value-opposed outcomes (e.g., Seahawks to win + Patriots to cover) — they can seem attractive but rarely pay fairly.
- Consider situational game-flow correlations (e.g., if Patriots trail they’ll throw more; that affects passing totals and whether Drake Maye runs).
- Keep an eye on final injury news (Seahawks safety issue cited) that could shift line/prop value.
Notable warnings and housekeeping
- Nick repeatedly cautioned against parlaying the seemingly-opposite sharp-money sides (Seattle win + NE cover).
- Hosts often avoided certain markets (kicker props, some interceptions) because of price or variance.
- Remember state / legal restrictions and responsible gambling notices referenced by sponsors (Hard Rock Bet promos limited to certain states; gambling-help hotlines).
Quick-reference summary of most actionable props (odds shown where given)
- Game pick: Seahawks -4.5 (Nick) — predicted 27–17 Seahawks.
- High-conviction favorites:
- Kenneth Walker anytime TD: -200
- Patriots team UNDER 18.5: +115 (Nick)
- Both teams ≥1 fourth-down conversion: +125 (Nick)
- Total passers OVER 2.5: +160 (Nick)
- QB yardage/completions:
- Sam Darnold OVER 232.5 passing yards (-115)
- Sam Darnold OVER 19.5 completions (-135)
- Sam Darnold rushing UNDER 6.5 yards (-115)
- Drake Maye OVER 37.5 rushing yards (-120)
- Drake Maye UNDER 1.5 passing TDs (-160)
- Fun/long shots:
- Cooper Kupp most receiving yards: +1300 (Demonse)
- Rashid Shahid longest reception: +700
- Gatorade color: lime/green +275
Final notes
- Hosts emphasized having fun with one or two small, higher-juice or novelty bets while keeping the bankroll protected for bigger plays.
- Nick’s stated Super Bowl MVP pick (not a wager) was Sam Darnold.
- The episode is sponsor-heavy (Hard Rock Bet, Boost Mobile, and others); promotional offers and responsible-gambling disclaimers were included.
If you want a printable checklist of the highest-value bets mentioned (favorites + heavy-juice avoidances) or a short parlay/contrarian list based on the hosts’ advice, I can produce that next.