FantasyPros - 6 SAFEST Fantasy Football Draft Picks | High-Floor Players You Can Trust (Ep. 2110)

Summary of FantasyPros - 6 SAFEST Fantasy Football Draft Picks | High-Floor Players You Can Trust (Ep. 2110)

by iHeartPodcasts and The Volume

24m•August 3, 2026
Listen to Episode

Overview of FantasyPros - 6 SAFEST Fantasy Football Draft Picks | High-Floor Players You Can Trust (Ep. 2110)

This episode of the FantasyPros Football Podcast highlights six players the hosts view as especially reliable fantasy draft targets because of their stable roles, strong volume, and bankable production. The main theme is that “safe” picks don’t have to be boring—they can still offer meaningful upside if the offense improves or touchdown luck swings their way.

The 6 Safest Fantasy Football Draft Picks

1) Tetairoa McMillan

  • The hosts view McMillan as a surprisingly safe pick for a rookie because his talent and target dominance already showed up in a tough environment.
  • Despite playing with an underwhelming Bryce Young-led Panthers offense, McMillan still produced over 1,000 yards as a rookie.
  • He posted:
    • 25.4% target share
    • 30.7% of Carolina’s receiving yards
  • The case for safety is that he can win volume now, and there’s still room for a big Year 2 leap if the Panthers offense improves.
  • Current draft cost is around WR14-15 / Round 3-4.

2) Derrick Henry

  • Henry is the classic “you know exactly what you’re getting” running back.
  • The hosts emphasized that, when healthy, he has consistently delivered elite rushing volume and touchdowns for years.
  • Since 2018, in seasons where he played at least 15 games, he’s produced:
    • at least 215 carries
    • at least 1,059 rushing yards
    • at least 12 total touchdowns
  • Even with age concerns, the floor remains extremely strong because of his workload and goal-line role.
  • The only real question is whether he eventually hits an abrupt age cliff, but for now he remains a strong RB1 bet with top-5 upside.

3) David Montgomery

  • Correcting the transcript noise: Montgomery is discussed as the Lions running back, not a Texans player.
  • He’s seen as one of the safest backs because his role is very stable:
    • primary early-down runner
    • likely goal-line back
    • strong chance to keep a heavy carry load
  • The hosts believe the Lions offense and run-friendly scripts keep his weekly floor very secure.
  • While he shares work with Jahmyr Gibbs, Montgomery still projects as a reliable low-end RB2 with RB1 touchdown upside.
  • His pass-game usage is limited, but his rushing and scoring profile make him very trustworthy.
  • Current ADP discussed: around RB20 / 4th round.

4) Terry McLaurin

  • McLaurin is one of the safest WR picks because his target floor has been remarkably steady when healthy.
  • In healthy seasons, he has consistently reached:
    • 117+ targets
    • 1,000+ receiving yards
  • The hosts also pointed to strong efficiency metrics, including yards per route run and first downs per route run.
  • The excitement here is that a new offensive approach could unlock even more:
    • more motion
    • more play-action
    • more formation versatility
  • If the offense opens up, McLaurin has a real path to a career year.
  • Current ADP: around WR24 / Round 5.

5) Jared Goff

  • Goff is the definition of boring-but-reliable quarterback production.
  • Over the last four seasons, he has consistently delivered:
    • 4,400+ passing yards
    • 29+ passing touchdowns
  • He’s been a top-10 fantasy QB every year in that span while never being treated like an elite fantasy quarterback.
  • His consistency is the main selling point:
    • frequent 200-yard games
    • frequent multi-touchdown games
    • very few scoreless outings
  • Because he doesn’t run, his ceiling is capped, but he’s one of the best late-round QB values if you want stability.
  • Current ADP discussed: around QB16 / Round 11.

6) Travis Kelce

  • Kelce is no longer an elite top-three fantasy tight end, but he still profiles as a very safe TE1.
  • Over the last two seasons, he has remained highly involved in the Chiefs’ passing game and still projects as one of Patrick Mahomes’ most trusted targets.
  • The hosts noted that:
    • he remains a likely target leader at tight end
    • he still offers a solid weekly floor
    • touchdown regression could still boost him
  • He’s not the same ceiling monster as in his prime, but he’s still a dependable starting tight end with top-7 potential.

Main Takeaways

  • Safety in fantasy football is mostly about role, volume, and offensive stability.
  • The best “safe” picks can still have strong upside:
    • McMillan: elite talent with room to grow
    • Henry: dependable workload and touchdown equity
    • Montgomery: stable rushing and goal-line role
    • McLaurin: target floor plus possible offensive upgrade
    • Goff: extremely steady QB2 option
    • Kelce: still a trustworthy TE1
  • The episode’s overall message: draft dependable players early if you want a strong weekly floor, but don’t assume “safe” means low-ceiling.