Strengths and weaknesses of the 2026 free agent class

Summary of Strengths and weaknesses of the 2026 free agent class

by The Athletic

1h 8mMarch 4, 2026

Overview of The Athletic Football Show — Strengths and weaknesses of the 2026 free agent class

This episode is a free‑agency primer with Robert Mays, Derek, and Dave from The Athletic. They review breaking headlines (Drew Dalman’s retirement, Daniel Jones transition tag, the Cardinals’ plan to release Kyler Murray, Vikings opening Jonathan Greenard to trade, Jets tagging Breece Hall) and then take a bird’s‑eye view of the 2026 free‑agent pool — where there’s depth, where teams should shop, and where the market is thin. Their overall read: this isn’t a blockbuster top‑end class, but there’s a lot of starter‑caliber value if teams are willing to search (their “Aldi” analogy).

Top headlines covered in the episode

  • Drew Dalman (Bears center) announced his retirement, creating an urgent hole for Chicago’s interior OL.
  • Colts placed the transition tag on Daniel Jones (~$37M), giving them right of first refusal but no draft compensation if he signs elsewhere.
  • Vikings reportedly open to trading edge rusher Jonathan Greenard (seeking a day‑2 pick).
  • Cardinals have told Kyler Murray they plan to release him on the first day of the league year — he’ll be available on the veteran minimum.
  • Jets used the franchise tag on RB Breece Hall, a controversial move given the team’s lack of recent postseason success.

Notable live show reminder: The Athletic will stream live coverage during the first day of free agency (multi‑guest, five‑hour stream).

Class‑wide assessment (big picture)

  • Analogy: “Aldi” free‑agency class — not many marquee high‑price names, but bargains and useful starters exist if you look.
  • Fewer very large AAV contracts expected than recent years. Using 6% of the cap (~$18.3M AAV in their math) as a threshold, they estimate well under a dozen non‑QB players will clear that figure — maybe 7–8.
  • Depth is the story: a lot of mid‑tier, starter‑capable players across several positions. Draft depth (especially at safety) could further depress prices for some veterans.

Positions that are strengths (good shopping list)

  • Running backs
    • Big and varied class: explosive RBs (Kenneth Walker, Travis Etienne), plus cheaper starting‑capable backs (Tyler Allgeier, Kenneth Gainwell, Rashad White).
    • Good place to find complementary starters or RB2s without big price tags.
  • Interior offensive line (guards & centers)
    • Much deeper than recent years — multiple starting‑caliber guards and centers available (e.g., David Edwards, AVT, Zion Johnson, Connor McGovern, Lloyd Cushenberry, Luke Fortner).
    • Centers: options exist (Tyler Linderbaum as a premium fit; Tyler Biadasz being hosted by the Bears).
  • Linebacker
    • Tons of flavors (three‑down types, run‑stoppers, blitzers). Devin Lloyd highlighted as near‑top tier.
  • Safety
    • Large group of starting‑capable safeties (Cam D. Curl, Jalen Thompson, Reed Blankenship, Nick Cross, Brian Cook, Jaquan Brisker). Draft‑class depth could push some veteran prices down.
  • Tight end
    • Range of archetypes: pass‑catchers (Chigoziem Okonkwo), blocking/TE2s (Charlie Kolar), and mid‑tier veterans (Dalton Schultz, Dallas Goedert?). Value exists based on pricing.
  • Edge (depth)
    • Not a superstar top, but strong depth: Trey Hendrickson, Jalen Phillips, Jonathan Greenard, Khalil Mack (one‑year risk), Bradley Chubb, and several useful rotational pieces (Kingsley Enagbare, Joseph Ossai, etc.).

Positions that are weaknesses (thin or risky markets)

  • Wide receiver (top end)
    • Top names are scarce and prices could spike for the few high‑volume/size guys (Romeo Doubs, Mike Evans, JuJu? they discussed Juwan Jennings too). Beyond 2–3, options are thin for reliable WR1 production.
  • Tackle (free agent tackles)
    • Very limited starting tackle options. Rasheed Walker projects to command top tackle money; otherwise teams may be thin and overpay for health‑risky options.
  • Interior defensive line (3‑tech/nose)
    • The worst position group in this class by far: few true run‑stuffing three‑tech starters. Mostly rotational veterans (John Franklin‑Myers, Roy Lopez, Neville Gallimore, Khyiris Tonga, Sheldon Rankins). Not a good year to shop for premium interior DL starters.

Notable free agents and market notes (high‑value names mentioned)

  • Tyler Linderbaum (C) — premium center; would be an ideal fit for some teams but expected to be very expensive.
  • Trey Hendrickson (EDGE) — expected to command high AAV among non‑QBs.
  • Jalen Phillips, Jonathan Greenard (EDGE) — high‑value rotational/1B pass rushers; Greenard could be acquired via trade for a day‑2 pick.
  • Rasheed Walker (T) — likely to get top tackle money among free agents.
  • Alec Pierce (WR) — will be a major contract target; Daniel Jones’ tag may free Pierce to market.
  • Brian Cook, Jaquan Brisker (S) — among the safety tier that could command top market money.
  • Daniel Jones (QB) — transition‑tagged by Colts; risks/benefits debated heavily (coming off injury; owners worried about continuity vs optimization).
  • Kyler Murray (QB) — becoming a minimum‑rate option after Cardinals release; many teams should sniff around due to upside vs low cost.
  • Breece Hall (RB) — franchise tagged by Jets; narrative discussion about fairness and team competitiveness.
  • John Franklin‑Myers, Neville Gallimore, Sheldon Rankins (interior DL) — useful depth pieces, but not game‑changing starters at high pay.

Team implications & decision highlights

  • Chicago Bears: Dalman retirement forces center search. Options include expensive pursuit of Linderbaum, the cheaper/shorter Ty Biadasz, or internal/draft answers. The move signals how much Ben Johnson prioritizes the interior run game.
  • Indianapolis Colts: Transition tagging Daniel Jones buys time but draws scrutiny — $37M for a QB coming off an Achilles is risky and impacts other roster moves (Alec Pierce, cap allocation).
  • Vikings: Open to trading Jonathan Greenard — good fits for cap‑rich teams that lack picks (or teams willing to pay pick/cash).
  • Cardinals: Releasing Kyler Murray creates an unusual low‑cost opportunity for teams with upside to chase a veteran starter on a minimum.
  • Jets: Tagging Breece Hall is controversial — hosts questions about fair use of tags for running backs on non‑contending teams.

Key insights & notable quotes

  • “Aldi free agency class” — not full of marquee, wallet‑draining stars, but full of bargains if teams look.
  • “This shit’s hard, man.” — on the unpredictability of roster planning (retirements, injuries, motives).
  • Interior DL: “It’s the worst position in the class by a lot.” — major shortage of true premium three‑techs in free agency.
  • Safety market dynamic: Good veteran safeties + strong draft class = potential depressed veteran prices; opportunity for teams to buy value.

Practical takeaways / action items

  • Teams with limited cap space should prioritize value positions here: RB, interior OL, linebackers, and safeties.
  • Be cautious on QBs coming off major injuries (Daniel Jones, Kyler situation): short‑term continuity vs long‑term optimization debate — don’t overpay for familiarity.
  • Contenders needing pass rush help should call Minnesota on Greenard (day‑2 pick price may be reasonable).
  • Teams hunting WR1s may have to overpay; consider fitting WR complements (big perimeter guys) rather than chasing impossible top‑end replacements.
  • If you need an interior DL starter, don’t expect many high‑end options — consider drafting or pursuing younger developing pieces.
  • For agents/players: safety vets might be undervalued due to draft supply — leverage market timing; RBs can still get paid if placed on a contending team.

What to watch next from The Athletic

  • More position‑by‑position deep dives across the week: historical comparisons, archetype matches, bargains to watch, and “buyer beware” players.
  • Live free‑agency day coverage (first day of league year): multi‑guest, five‑hour stream reacting to signings, trades, cuts, and contract details.

This summary condenses the show’s main news, market reads, positional strengths/weaknesses, and practical takeaways for teams, agents, and fans preparing for the 2026 free‑agency period.