Overview of Buy or Sell Their Offseason: The Rebuilders
This episode of The Athletic Football Show kicks off a four-part series evaluating every NFL offseason in totality by grouping teams into buckets. Robert Mays and Dave Helman start with the “rebuilding” teams — the clubs at the bottom of the Super Bowl odds — and decide whether each team’s coaching changes, free agency, and draft amount to a net positive. The central question throughout: are these teams actually building something sustainable, or just rearranging the deck chairs while they wait for the next quarterback opportunity?
Key themes from the discussion
- Long-term flexibility mattered more than 2026 wins. Several teams were judged less on immediate competitiveness and more on whether they built a viable path to a 2027 quarterback.
- Offensive line and defensive line investments were prioritized. The hosts repeatedly liked teams that attacked premium positions, even if the results in 2026 might still be ugly.
- Coaching uncertainty is a major swing factor. Some teams made good player-acquisition decisions, but the hosts were skeptical that the staff could maximize them.
- A few teams were intentionally “parking” this season. The Dolphins and Falcons, in particular, were treated as teams that may be trying to survive 2026 while resetting for the future.
Team-by-team verdicts
New York Jets — Buy
The Jets were one of the most polarizing but ultimately buyable rebuilds.
- The hosts liked the player acquisition plan, especially the way the Jets added talent at premium spots and accumulated future draft capital.
- They viewed the three first-round picks in 2027 as a massive asset, even if the coaching staff turns over after a rough year.
- There was real concern about the coaching setup, especially the stability of the new regime and whether the staff can survive long enough to benefit from the roster.
- Still, the big-picture view was positive: the Jets may not be good soon, but they have a real chance to be attractive again in the near future.
Cleveland Browns — Buy
The Browns were an emphatic buy, even if the hosts worried they might become “too good” to land their desired quarterback.
- Cleveland attacked the offensive line hard, adding veterans and rookies to rebuild the front.
- The draft class was praised for adding multiple pieces with clear roles and good value.
- Todd Monken’s hire as head coach was viewed as a high-variance but interesting swing with upside if the fit clicks.
- The only real concern: if the roster improves too much, the Browns could drift out of range for a top quarterback in 2027.
- Even with that worry, the hosts strongly liked the overall blueprint: build the roster first, then insert the quarterback later.
Tennessee Titans — Lean Sell / Wait-and-See
The Titans were treated as a team with a decent process in spots, but not enough certainty to fully buy.
- The defense got a major facelift under Robert Saleh, and the hosts liked pieces like John Franklin-Myers, Jermaine Johnson, Keldrick Falk, and Solomon Thomas.
- They also liked the general idea of building around Jeffery Simmons with more support.
- But they were skeptical that the Titans added enough true difference-makers and worried that several of the moves were expensive but not transformational.
- There was also skepticism about the broader Brian Daboll offense / ex-Giants influence in the building.
- Net: the Titans have a vision, but the hosts weren’t convinced it meaningfully raises the ceiling yet.
Las Vegas Raiders — Lean Sell
The Raiders were the classic “good idea, but maybe too expensive in the eyes of the market” team.
- The biggest bullish point was Fernando Mendoza going first overall and landing in a setup that at least has some offensive infrastructure.
- The hosts liked Clint Kubiak and believed he’s shown enough as a play caller to deserve the benefit of the doubt.
- They also liked several roster additions, including Tyler Linderbaum, but thought the hype around the offensive environment may be ahead of the actual quality.
- The bottom line: they’re not anti-Raiders, but they think the team is being overvalued because of the quarterback pick.
- If the Raiders are a stock, Dave said he’d sell now.
Arizona Cardinals — Sell
Arizona was the clearest sell of the group.
- The hosts did not see a coherent multi-year plan.
- They questioned the value of spending premium resources on Jeremiah Love at running back and Carson Beck at quarterback when bigger roster holes remain.
- The offense and defense still appear to have major structural problems, especially at tackle and edge rusher.
- Even if some of the moves help in 2026, the hosts didn’t think the Cardinals improved enough to justify the way they allocated assets.
- The concern was simple: this offseason did not solve the roster’s most important problems.
New York Giants — Buy
The Giants were one of the stronger buys, especially as a foundational reset.
- The hosts framed this as a respectability rebuild under a proven head coach, not a push to contend right away.
- They liked the balance of the moves: building the trenches, improving the defense, and protecting future flexibility.
- Key additions like Arvel Reese, Francis Mauigoa, Colton Hood, Tremaine Edmonds, Darnell Mooney, and Isaiah Likely gave the roster a more complete look.
- The overall vibe was that the Giants are trying to become competent, stable, and harder to beat, which is the right first step after bottoming out.
- The hosts were cautiously optimistic that this could be the start of a real rebuild, not just a one-year reset.
Miami Dolphins — Conditional Buy
Miami was the hardest team to evaluate because almost everything depends on the rookie class.
- The Dolphins had huge dead-money issues, so they couldn’t operate like a normal offseason team.
- That made the draft incredibly important: they took 13 rookies, many of whom are expected to play early.
- The hosts’ verdict was basically: if the rookies hit, buy; if they don’t, sell.
- They liked the logic of trying to refill the roster with cheap, controllable talent while the cap is messy.
- The overall view was that Miami’s offseason is almost entirely a bet on rookie development and evaluation.
Atlanta Falcons — Buy the process, not the immediate product
The Falcons were viewed as a team doing the right thing for the future, even if it doesn’t make them especially interesting right now.
- Their offseason was interpreted as a reset after years of cap and roster mistakes.
- The hosts liked the idea of getting the books in order, restoring draft capital, and avoiding another all-in mistake.
- They saw the team as likely to be competent but not especially exciting in 2026.
- The offense still has enough pieces to be watchable, but the bigger goal is clearly positioning for a better future.
- In other words: the Falcons may be doing the smart thing, but it’s not a move that raises their immediate ceiling much.
Final takeaway
The rebuilding-teams bucket showed a pretty clear split:
- Strong buys: Jets, Browns, Giants
- Conditional or process-based buys: Dolphins, Falcons
- Skeptical / wait-and-see: Titans, Raiders
- Clear sell: Cardinals
The biggest thread across the episode was that the right offseason isn’t always the one that makes a team better right away. For rebuilding teams, the hosts cared most about whether the moves created a real foundation — especially at quarterback, offensive line, and defensive line — for the next phase of the rebuild.
